Application of a Novel Fractional Order Grey Support Vector Regression Model to Forecast Wind Energy Consumption in China

Main Article Content

Jiahao Cao
Liang Liu
Lizhi Yang
Shuchuan Xie

Abstract

In order to achieve accurate prediction of new energy related data, a fractional grey support vector regression model based on nested cross-validation is proposed. In order to verify the superiority of the new model, China’s wind energy consumption data from 2001 to 2014 were selected, and a fractional grey prediction model, a support vector regression model and a fractional support vector regression combination model were established, and wind energy consumption in China was predicted from 2015 to 2018. Numerical experimental results show that the newly proposed combined prediction model has higher prediction accuracy.

Keywords:
Wind energy consumption, fractional order grey prediction model, support vector regression model, combination model.

Article Details

How to Cite
Cao, J., Liu, L., Yang, L., & Xie, S. (2020). Application of a Novel Fractional Order Grey Support Vector Regression Model to Forecast Wind Energy Consumption in China. Journal of Advances in Mathematics and Computer Science, 35(2), 58-69. https://doi.org/10.9734/jamcs/2020/v35i230249
Section
Original Research Article

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